Journal of Environmental Accounting and Management
The Dynamics, Challenges, and Strategic Opportunities of Solar Energy Development in the South Caucasus Countries
Journal of Environmental Accounting and Management 14(3) (2026) 459--472 | DOI:10.5890/JEAM.2026.09.006
Meruzhan Markosyan, Elyanora Matevosyan, Ashot Markosyan
National Academy of Sciences of the RA, Institute of Economics after M. Kotanyan, 15 G. Lusavorchi street, Yerevan, Armenia
$\ll$Amberd$\gg$ Research Center of Armenian State University of Economics, 128 Nalbandyan street, Yerevan, Armenia
Download Full Text PDF
Abstract
This study assesses the dynamics and opportunities of solar energy development in the three South Caucasus countries---Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia---during 2018--2024. The region shows a clear upward trend in solar deployment, albeit at different speeds. Armenia expanded installed PV capacity from 17.3 MW to 485.4 MW (CAGR $\approx$ 74%/yr), Azerbaijan from 34.9 MW to 292.9 MW (CAGR $\approx$ 43%/yr; acceleration after 2022), and Georgia from 0.9 MW to 132.6 MW (CAGR $\approx$ 130%/yr, small-base effect). Growth is shaped by policy clarity, investment risk allocation, grid-integration readiness, and access to technology. The mixed-methods approach combines quantitative indicators (installed capacity, compound annual growth rates) with a structured qualitative review of policies and market rules. We complement country analysis with comparative views across former Soviet states and neighboring systems (Türkiye, Iran). Case notes (e.g., Masrik-1 in Armenia; Jabrayil/Shafag in Azerbaijan) illustrate utility-scale deployment and bring performance considerations (capacity factors, PPA/auction frameworks) into focus. Findings motivate a sequenced policy roadmap: regulatory stability, bankable PPAs, targeted grid upgrades, skills and supplier development, and pragmatic localization of components and services. Solar energy thus emerges not only as a clean electricity source but as an economic, environmental, and strategic lever for sustainable growth, energy security, and progress toward climate goals in the South Caucasus.
References
-
| [1]  | International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA). (2024), Renewable power generation costs in 2023, IRENA, Abu Dhabi. https://www.irena.org/publications
|
-
| [2]  | International Energy Agency (IEA). (2023), Renewables 2023: Analysis and forecast to 2028, OECD/IEA, Paris. https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2023
|
-
| [3]  | Emblemsvåg, J. (2025), Rethinking the ``levelized cost of energy'': A critical review and evaluation of the concept, Energy Research & Social Science, 103897. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2024.103897
|
-
| [4]  | Mandys, F. and Kouřil, M. (2023), Levelized cost estimates of solar photovoltaic electricity in the UK, Heliyon, 9(6), e16673. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023001230
|
-
| [5]  | Green, M.A., Dunlop, E.D., Hohl-Ebinger, J., Yoshita, M., Kopidakis, N., and Hao, X. (2024), Solar cell efficiency tables (Version 64), Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, 32(7), 1263–1282. https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.3831
|
-
| [6]  | Machín, A. and Márquez, F. (2024), Advancements in photovoltaic cell materials: Silicon, organic, and perovskite solar cells, Materials, 17(5), 1165. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma17051165
|
-
| [7]  | Zhang, Y., Chen, B., Li, J., Liu, T., Wang, Z., and Zhao, Y. (2024), Progress in passivating selective contacts for silicon HJT solar cells, Nano Energy, 120, 109171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nanoen.2024.109171
|
-
| [8]  | Zhao, Y., Procel, P., Han, C., Cao, L., Yang, G., and Özkol, E. (2023), Strategies for realizing high-efficiency silicon heterojunction solar cells, Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells, 258, 112413.
|
-
| [9]  | Ren, J., Zhao, W., Shi, J., Yan, Z., Li, Y., Zhang, X., Wang, Y., and Li, H. (2024), Predicting the lifetime of HJT modules towards the outdoor real-world environment, Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells, 272, 112885. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.solmat.2024.112885
|
-
| [10]  | Ferry, A., Thebault, M., Nérot, B., and Ménézo, C. (2024), Modeling and analysis of rooftop solar potential in highland and lowland territories: Impact of mountainous topography, Solar Energy, 275, 112632. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2024.112632
|
-
| [11]  | Chuchvaga, N., Kulyk, M., Deviatko, O., and Starynkevych, M. (2023), Development of hetero-junction silicon solar cells with intrinsic thin layer: A review, Coatings, 13(4), 796. https://doi.org/10.3390/coatings13040796
|
-
| [12]  | Chen, S. and Heilscher, G. (2024), Integration of distributed PV into smart grids: A comprehensive analysis for Germany, Energy Strategy Reviews, 55, 101525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2024.101525
|
-
| [13]  | Khalid, M. (2024), Smart grids and renewable energy systems: Perspectives and grid integration challenges, Energy Strategy Reviews, 51, 101299. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2024.101299
|
-
| [14]  | Orangi, S., Manjong, N., Clos, D.P., Usai, L., Burheim, O.S., and Strømman, A.H. (2024), Historical and prospective lithium-ion battery cost trajectories from a bottom-up production modeling perspective, Journal of Energy Storage, 76, 109800. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2023.109800
|
-
| [15]  | Cole, W. and Karmakar, A. (2023), Cost projections for utility-scale battery storage: 2023 update, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, NREL/TP-6A40-85332. https://doi.org/10.2172/1984976
|
-
| [16]  | Kaldellis, J.K. and Zafirakis, D. (2011), The wind energy (r)evolution: A short review of a long history, Renewable Energy, 36(7), 1887–1901. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.002
|
-
| [17]  | Rinaldi, L., Golinucci, N., Guerrieri, G., Sanvito, F.D., Rocco, M.V., and Colombo, E. (2024), When are battery electric vehicles economically convenient? A sensitivity analysis based on multi-carrier residential energy system renovation modelling, Energy Reports. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2024.01.025
|
-
| [18]  | Nijsse, F.J.M.M., van der Kolk, N., van Sark, W.G.J.H.M., and Smets, A.H.M. (2023), The momentum of the solar energy transition, Nature Communications, 14, 6431. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-41971-7
|
-
| [19]  | United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). (2024), Global renewable energy investment trends, UNEP, Nairobi.
|
-
| [20]  | Liu, J., Shuai, J., Shuai, C., Wang, Z., and Huang, F. (2023), Impacts of solar photovoltaic projects on sustainable livelihoods: Evidence from rural China, Energy for Sustainable Development, 74, 314–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.esd.2023.04.007
|
-
| [21]  | de Jong, P., Kiperstok, A., and Torres, E.A. (2015), Economic and environmental analysis of electricity generation technologies in Brazil, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 52, 725–739. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.rser.2015.06.064
|
-
| [22]  | Keogh, M. (2021), Renewable energy development and energy security in Armenia, Caucasus Analytical Digest (No. 120), 7–11. https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000476772
|
-
| [23]  | International Energy Agency (IEA). (2022), Armenia 2022: Energy policy review, OECD/IEA, Paris. https://www.iea.org/reports/armenia-2022
|
-
| [24]  | Samkharadze, I. (2019), Europeanization of energy law and policy beyond the Member States: The case of Georgia, Energy Policy, 130, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.03.019
|
-
| [25]  | Ferré, N., Weller, C., and Buzogány, A. (2025), The development/renewable energy nexus in Georgia and Tunisia: Coalitions of support and opposition to EU energy policies, International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, 25(2), 247–265. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10784-025-09668-y
|
-
| [26]  | Vidadili, N., Suleymanov, E., Bulut, C., and Mahmudlu, C. (2017), Transition to renewable energy and sustainable development in Azerbaijan, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 80, 1153–1161. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.rser.2017.05.168
|
-
| [27]  | World Bank. (2024), Black Sea Submarine Cable Project – Project information document (PID), The World Bank, Washington, DC. https://documents.worldbank.org/
|
-
| [28]  | World Experience for Georgia. (2025), Georgia’s role in regional energy integration and the Black Sea Submarine Cable, WEG Policy Paper, Tbilisi.
|