Journal of Applied Nonlinear Dynamics
A Fractional-Order VSEITR Model with Caputo Derivative for Analyzing Tuberculosis Dynamics and Control Strategies in Algeria
Journal of Applied Nonlinear Dynamics 15(4) (2026) 765--787 | DOI:10.5890/JAND.2026.12.001
Rayane Boucherma, Mohammed Salah Abdelouahab, René Lozi
Laboratoire de Mathématiques Appliquées et Didactique, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Constantine, Constantine, Algeria
Laboratory of Mathematics and their interactions, University Centre Abdelhafid Boussouf, Mila, 43000, Algeria
Laboratoire J. A. Dieudonne, CNRS, Université Côte d'Azur, 06108 Nice, France
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Abstract
This paper presents a novel VSEITR fractional-order model to investigate the dynamics and control strategies of tuberculosis (TB) in Algeria. The model incorporates the Caputo fractional derivative, offering a more precise representation of TB transmission dynamics by integrating memory effects and long-term dependencies. Using TB data reported from 1990 to 2023, the model parameters were carefully calibrated, demonstrating a strong alignment with real-world data. Key analyses include the computation of the basic reproduction number, $\mathcal{R}_0$, and the examination of equilibrium states. Stability of both disease-free and endemic equilibria are rigorously analysed within the fractional model. Numerical simulations highlight the advantages of the proposed fractional-order model in capturing complex disease behaviour, with implications for public health strategies.
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