Journal of Applied Nonlinear Dynamics
Mathematical and Sensitivity Analysis of Taeniasis and Cysticercosis Transmission Dynamics
Journal of Applied Nonlinear Dynamics 15(2) (2026) 457--490 | DOI:10.5890/JAND.2026.06.014
Chinwendu Emilian Madubueze, Isaac Obiajulu Onwubuya
Department of Mathematics, Joseph Sarwuan Tarka University, Makurdi, Benue State, Nigeria
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Abstract
Taeniasis and cysticercosis are recognized as neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) that impact both humans and animals. The pork tapeworm, Taenia solium, is responsible for about $30\%$ of epilepsy cases in endemic areas, and this figure can reach $70\%$ in high-risk communities. Due to the significant disease burden, this research focuses on analyzing the transmission dynamics of these diseases through a deterministic mathematical model. The model integrates human and pig populations, Taenia eggs in the environment, and infected pork. The basic reproduction number, $R_0$, is calculated by applying the next-generation method, revealing that the disease-free equilibrium is stable when $R_0 < 1$, and the endemic equilibrium is stable when $R_0 > 1$. Using Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) and Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) techniques, sensitivity analysis is performed to identify the key parameters influencing the infected populations and the reproduction number. The findings indicate that factors such as human infection probability, the rate of shedding by infected individuals, pig slaughtering rates, transmission between pigs, consumption of undercooked pork, pig mortality, the proportion of unconsumed infected pork, and the decay of Taenia eggs in the environment are crucial in driving or controlling the spread of diseases. Based on numerical simulations, several policy recommendations are made, including promoting hygiene and sanitation, inspecting pork meat, ensuring proper cooking, providing sanitation facilities, banning open pig farming, and treating infected individuals to prevent further transmission of taeniasis and cysticercosis.
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