Skip Navigation Links
Discontinuity, Nonlinearity, and Complexity

Dimitry Volchenkov (editor), Dumitru Baleanu (editor)

Dimitry Volchenkov(editor)

Mathematics & Statistics, Texas Tech University, 1108 Memorial Circle, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA

Email: dr.volchenkov@gmail.com

Dumitru Baleanu (editor)

Cankaya University, Ankara, Turkey; Institute of Space Sciences, Magurele-Bucharest, Romania

Email: dumitru.baleanu@gmail.com


Stability and Hopf Bifurcation of an Epidemic Model With Logistic Growth and Delay

Discontinuity, Nonlinearity, and Complexity 8(4) (2019) 379--389 | DOI:10.5890/DNC.2019.12.003

El Mehdi Lotfi$^{1}$, Khalid Hattaf$^{1}$,$^{2}$, Noura Yousfi$^{1}$

$^{1}$ Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty of Sciences Ben M’sik, Hassan II University, P.O Box 7955 Sidi Othman, Casablanca, Morocco

$^{2}$ Centre Régional des Métiers de l’Education et de la Formation (CRMEF), 20340 Derb Ghalef, Casablanca, Morocco

Download Full Text PDF

 

Abstract

In this work, we propose and analyze a delayed epidemic model with logistic growth, in which the growth of susceptible individuals is governed by the logistic equation and the delay represents the latent period of the disease. Firstly, we prove that our model is mathematically and biologically well posed. In addition, the stability of equilibria and the existence of Hopf bifurcation are established. Moreover, several epidemic models existing in the previous studies are extended and generalized. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate our main results.

Acknowledgments

We would like to express our gratitude to the editor and the anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments and suggestions, which helped to enrich this paper. An earlier version of the paper has been presented as conference abstract in Fourth International Conference on Complex Dynamical Systems in Life Sciences: Modeling and Analysis 4thICCDS’2016, october 26, 2016, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir, Morocco.

References

  1. [1]  McCluskey, C.C. (2010), Global stability for an SIR epidemic model with delay and nonlinear incidence, Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 11, 3106-3109.
  2. [2]  McCluskey, C.C. (2010), Complete global stability for an SIR epidemic model with delay—istributed or discrete, Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 11, 55-59.
  3. [3]  Xu, R. and Ma, Z. (2009), Global stability of a SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and time delay, Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 10, 3175-3189.
  4. [4]  Hattaf, K., Lashari, A.A., Louartassi, Y., and Yousfi, N. (2013), A delayed SIR epidemic model with general incidence rate, Electronic Journal of Qualitative Theory of Differential Equations, 3, 1-9.
  5. [5]  Wang, J.J., Zhang, J.Z., and Jin, Z. (2010), Analysis of an SIR model with bilinear incidence rate, Nonlinear Anal., Real World Appl., 11, 2390-2402.
  6. [6]  Zhang, J.Z., Jin, Z., Liu, Q.X., and Zhang, Z.Y. (2008), Analysis of a delayed SIR model with nonlinear incidence rate, Discrete Dyn. Nat. Soc., Article ID 636153.
  7. [7]  Xue, Y. and Tiantian, L. (2013), Stability and Hopf bifurcation for a delayed SIR epidemic model with logistic growth, Abstract and Applied Analysis. Hindawi Publishing coroporation, 2013.
  8. [8]  Hale, J. and Verduyn Lunel, S.M. (1993), Introduction to Functional Differential Equations, Springer- Verlag, New York.
  9. [9]  Hale, J. (1977), Theory of Functional Differential Equations, New York: Springer.
  10. [10]  Gopalsamy, K. (1992), Stability and Oscillations in Delay-differential Equations of Population Dynamics, Kluwer, Dordrecht.
  11. [11]  LaSalle, J.P. (1976), The stability of dynamical systems, Regional Conference Series in Applied Mathematics, SIAM, Philadelphia.
  12. [12]  Beddington, J.R. (1975), Mutual interference between parasites or predators and its effect on searching efficiency, J Anim Ecol, 44, 331-340.
  13. [13]  DeAngelis, D.L., Goldstein, R.A., and O’neill, R.V. (1975), A model for trophic interaction, Ecology, 56, 881-892.